Suez SA (OTCPK:SZEVF) Q2 2020 Earnings Conference Call July 29, 2020 12: 15 PM ET
Bertrand Camus – Chief Executive Officer
Jean-Marc Boursier – Chief Working Officer
Julian Waldron – Chief Financial Officer
Conference Call Participants
Emmanuel Turpin – Societe Generale
Olivier Van Doosselaere – Exane
James Model – Deutsche Bank
Vincent Ayral – JPMorgan
Arthur Sitbon – Morgan Stanley
Fraser McLaren – Bank of The united states
Hello, and welcome to the SUEZ Half Yr 2020 Results Call. My name is Courtney, and I could be your coordinator for at the present time’s event. Please repeat that this convention is being recorded [Operator Instructions].
And I will now hand you over to your host, Bertrand Camus, Chief Executive Officer, to start up at the present time’s convention. Thanks.
Staunch night, and thanks for joining us on this H1 2020 call. I’m very joyful to be with you at the present time, along with Jean-Marc Boursier, the Neighborhood COO and Julian Waldron, the Neighborhood CFO. We all hope that you and your family are doing successfully.
Earlier than we enter into more considerable aspects, I’d first capture to stress that SUEZ confirmed resilience for the length of 2020 first half of. Our outcomes was better-than-expected a month ago, thanks to a accurate month of June. This confirms bettering trends and allow us to provide steering for the 2d half of. H1 2020 was as soon as also a very dynamic semester with regards to industrial successes, and our asset rotation belief is indubitably gathering breeze. The unheard of crisis we face validates our SUEZ 2030 diagram. It positions us for the inexperienced restoration.
Transferring to Proceed 3. I’d capture to start up at the present time by having a stumble on intimately to the long speed and at growth. And by reiterating our cause, first we did for the length of our last AGM in Might per chance per chance additionally simply. I strongly deem that our cause differentiates SUEZ and marks the crew’s unparalleled identity, diagram and choices. Our cause acts as a compass for the long speed. Shaping a sustainable environment now makes it sure to all our stakeholders, how the company will make contributions to resolving most major societal considerations within the last decade to advance abet and starting already now.
Our achievements in H1 completely illustrate this cause. As quickly as the successfully being crisis began, SUEZ activated its continuity plans to support offering our considerable products and services every single day on your whole countries where we characteristic, prioritizing the security of our staff on the bottom. We managed to make certain that reliability and quality, thanks to the solid engagement of our groups fully mindful about our accountability.
The recent context reveals the importance of a cause in determining our social contribution and offering sure solutions to the immense challenges of our time. As a pacesetter in environmental products and services, SUEZ wants to crimson meat up its pioneering characteristic in maintaining the environment, contributing resolution with a distinct impact on successfully being, quality of existence, biodiversity and native climate.
Thus, as you can even stare on Proceed 4, we integrated in our strategic belief SUEZ 2030, three commitments aligned with the 1.5-stage trajectory and likewise aligned with our unusual cause. By 2030, we decide to a 45% reduction in deliver and indirect emissions connected to 2014. 20 million CO2 emissions shunned for our customers and 100% sustainable solutions with distinct impact for our customers on native climate and/or biodiversity. The most major sources of SUEZ deliver and indirect greenhouse gasoline emissions are coming from final waste disposal and electricity consumption for water and wastewater.
On waste, I’d capture to focal level, as an illustration, on inexperienced landfill deployment. Inexperienced landfilling contrivance containing gasoline emissions and capturing them for reuse. I will quote, as an illustration, the 20 delegated management contracts we comprise with the municipality of Meknes in Morocco. This contract that we signed in 2014 hide the rehabilitation of the former landfill and the building of the unusual landfill and waste restoration facility.
Besides to, we are very proud to also comprise a distinct social impact as we foster social inclusion for casual staff. On water, growing self-consumption of electricity, particularly in waste water treatment plant is a vital lever to diminish greenhouse gasoline emissions. As an illustration, we managed to enact 100% autonomy in biofactories, devour the one we developed and characteristic in Santiago, Chile, La Farfana, producing biogas or pure gasoline as one source of energy. I could also quote our highly efficient tool solutions equivalent to AQUADVANCED Energy, riding the energy consumption down for our customers and in our possess operation.
On the facet of shunned emission, around half of of it accomplished, of it is far accomplished, thanks to materials restoration and recycling, which remains the first lever to achieve our function to double shunned emission in 2030. And in Thailand, we are polishing off a recycling plant that turns plastic waste into round polymers in Bang Phli district near Bangkok. This plant will make contributions to Thailand’s ambitious 2030 target to enact 100% plastic recycling.
On the next tear, Proceed number 5. We should repeat that above and former the greenhouse gasoline emission reduction, we comprise an brisk characteristic on biodiversity with concrete solutions. As stated in our cause at SUEZ, we invest in maintaining and restoring pure capital as well to the long speed of biodiversity, each at sea and on land.
This day, when deciding on exchange building projects, regarded as one of many criteria for evaluating the crew’s operational determination is distinct contribution to biodiversity. Let me give you two examples. First, the 25-twelve months contract for waste management and handy resource restoration in Belgrade, Serbia. This public-non-public partnership entails the late closure of the existing landfill, regarded as one of many ideal lively dump web sites in Europe, positioned on the banks of the Danube. This will make contributions to bettering the environmental impact as well to the water quality of the river.
The 2d one is our urban flood park in Alicante, Spain, which protects the metropolis from floods brought on by torrential rains. These parks presents also a huge home for Fauna and Vegetation. The successfully being crisis has served as a gigantic take-heed call to the challenges of maintaining biodiversity, it elevated the interest of our clients in our various and complete solutions. In June 2020, SUEZ reinforced its commitment to maintaining biodiversity by taking part within the Act4nature France Initiative. The target is to make focal level for our diagram and tag proposition as regard the thunder of biodiversity.
Turning now to Proceed 6. I’d capture to spotlight that we had a very accurate industrial dynamic within the first 6 months of 2020. No topic the pandemic, we obtained companies in a range of our geographies, even in basically the most impacted countries. In France, we partnered with Vauban Infrastructure to assemble a brand unusual mission known as SUEZ Investissement Native, to finance projects within the water and waste industries.
Moreover in Dijon, we obtained the 9 twelve months delegated management contract for drinking water and wastewater management. In the United States, we extended for one more five years the contract to characteristic in Los Angeles, regarded as one of many ideal and most sophisticated waste water recycling vegetation within the nation.
In Angola, we obtained a contract to develop drinking water infrastructure in Luanda, the capital metropolis to satisfy the wants of the large rising inhabitants — the snappy-rising inhabitants, of €7.5 million in EBITDA. We also elevated our energy from waste capacities within the UK and our groups with out anguish to conceal the sequence and recycling operation in Somerset within the midst of the pandemic.
In Belgium, we inaugurated the Valomet plant, a European pioneer within the restoration of ultrafine steel particles. In China, we formed the joint mission to originate and characteristic a brand unusual facility to get better perilous waste from car sector and clients within the Shanghai Chemical Industrial Park. Our industrial water activities resisted successfully to the downturn, a success unusual clients in growth sectors, equivalent to food and beverage, pharmaceuticals and microelectronics.
The subsequent two slides focal level on some emblematic contracts of this half of twelve months. On Proceed 7, the first one is in Tashkent, Uzbekistan, the capital metropolis of Uzbekistan. Right here is a 7-twelve months contract value €140 million, obtained in June, which targets to modernize water and wastewater networks for the metropolis for basically the most absorbing thing about its 3.5 million inhabitants. Our perfect solutions will toughen the day-to-day management of water demand and provide, water losses could be diminished to satisfy perfect international popular, thanks to developed ways for leak detection and repair. This modern contract illustrates for me our skill to leverage on our unparalleled ride in managing huge water programs, whereas applied our most modern perfect solutions, that are value 40% of the total contract tag.
The 2d contract on Proceed 8, I’d capture to focal level on is the management of your whole wastewater and rainwater infrastructure in Doha North. This contract is value €80 million earnings per twelve months. SUEZ will deploy modern solutions for the power monitoring, with the institution of an smart support a watch on center that will centralize info and provide realtime info on the sewage community. These 2 contracts show veil our skill to develop huge contracts, it is far elevated than another contracts we comprise in France, with very puny investment.
Transferring to Proceed 9. These industrial successes showcase the selective manner adopted with our strategic plans SUEZ 2030, articulated around our 3 priority areas: international, industrial customers, expertise and info-pushed resolution. Those priorities could be fostering our earnings growth within the coming years as well to our skill and capital allocation.
Selective growth also contrivance making choices, choices in our geographies, choices within the activities where we need to distinguish and likewise choices within the exchange model we need to develop to toughen our positioning within the value chain. This selectivity manner could also materialize in our capital redeployment. Our asset rotation belief progresses very successfully. Our most major Wave 1 disposal are in their negotiation fragment, and we comprise known and already launched our Wave 2 priorities.
Having a stumble on ahead now, there is some exiguous but absorbing investment alternatives. As an illustration, in our activities in China, into membrane capabilities with the acquisition of the LANXESS reverse osmosis membrane portfolio and production facility in Germany. Moreover in perilous waste in Center East and in plastic recycling.
I will now run away the bottom to Jean-Marc, who will give you an exchange on the growth of the efficiency belief, regarded as one of many key pillars of SUEZ 2030; after which to Julian, who will repeat in additional detail the H1 numbers.
Thanks, Bertrand. Staunch night, girls and gents. I’m happy to comprise the different this afternoon to stipulate for you the first a success steps of SUEZ efficiency and operational transformation belief. We began the fabricate and rollout of the plant last October and proud of what has been accomplished to this level, we are very confident of reaching our target of €1 billion of annual routine savings by 2023.
On the next tear, Page 11, let me remind you the key pillars of our efficiency poke. SUEZ efficiency belief is an initiative by which our most absorbing experts work closely together in sinful regions and sinful-handy job forces in express to elaborate optimization levers and implement loyal action plans.
Our focal level is directed at 3 most major areas: industrial efficiency, exterior spend and G&A. As a reminder, our general ambition is to bring by 2023 €1 billion of routine savings versus our 2019 tag evil, with almost half of of it by the tip of 2021. The savings would outcome in an loyal routine P&L enchancment, and we target a retention rate of about 40% of these advantages on yarn of an intense operational efficiency management transformation program.
These savings need to no longer one-offs. I deliver on this level as the targeted savings pause, for event, no longer encompass instant-time length tag reduction recorded as a ruin outcome of the COVID-19 connected lockdowns. What’s currently going down is unheard of. We should spend the unusual context to transfer sooner and deeper within the operational transformation of our crew. At this level, we comprise region up 54 working groups spirited already more than 1,300 folks. The whole actions are outlined at granular stage to accurate environment actual implementation.
We’re in motion to deeply embed operational excellence in our ideas of working, backed by a series of devoted coaching applications and an architecture of fashioned and popular KPIs. Referring to our industrial efficiency enchancment initiatives, we comprise first known most absorbing practices, then consolidated them. And now we are pushing into a systematic implementation in all our regions. In consequence of the huge scale and significance of the program, sadly, I obtained’t comprise time to spotlight your whole scope. But to give you with a flavor of what is going down, I’d capture to spotlight some of basically the most impactful realizations that comprise materialized to this level. Let’s spend a instant while on two industrial examples presented on the next tear, Page 12.
In recycling and restoration, developed solutions developed in sourcing activities in Northern Europe are now being fascinating for implementation in other geographies, difficult about an OpEx evil of €190 million. This outcomes in estimated savings of €24 million each year by 2023, which is a most likely enchancment of 12%. The an identical manner has been developed for our water treatment activities.
We leveraged some of the actual ways from WTS in express to diminish chemical compounds and energy consumption. In keeping with the work performed, we deem that we can target almost €9 million of annual savings on a whole OpEx evil of €144 million, which is an an identical of a 6% tag reduction. And right here’s a loyal instance of our sinful-handy manner because it is far strongly backed by each an industrial optimization and a closer procurement.
For the first time, I dare to order, we are basically leveraging the skill of being one crew in making varied regional groups work closely together to enact recommendation, that is also replicated in other locations. Yet another tear presenting particular examples referring to the optimization of exterior spend by ideas of two very operational initiatives on Proceed 13. As you may comprise gathered, regarded as one of many key cornerstones of our efficiency program is the flexibility in an effort to add tag repeatedly and to leverage the crew dimension. When it involves optimizing exterior spend, these two approaches allow us to elevate our operational efficiency carry out.
As an illustration, as you already know, we fabricate, we characteristic, we bewitch the sequence gear, at huge case all over all R&R companies. In the context of the efficiency belief, we comprise fundamentally revisited our instant sizing and renewable manner as well to our financing and upkeep practices. This will allow us to generate more than €25 million of yearly savings per an OpEx evil of €82 million. This represents a first-rate 30% enchancment. We then turn to the same manner of standardization and world negotiation within the home of off-facet road gear with targeted savings between 5% and 10%, reckoning on all regions. Till now, groups had been reasonably working locally.
Now we strive to gather at world stage whenever it is relevant, with a stronger bargaining field with our partners. So ahead of returning the determination over to Julian, I’d capture to reiterate that we need to no longer off beam and confident in handing over the €1 billion operational savings by 2023 as deliberate. This could be made that you can even imagine by leveraging 4 key enablers: first, a varied and popular region of KPIs to song industrial efficiency in all operations; 2d, a brand unusual efficiency monitoring machine deployed globally on which our groups are now incentivized; third, a accurate CapEx envelope to toughen and modernize our resources over the length; and fourth, a complete coaching program known as the SUEZ Destroy, to foster a fashioned efficiency culture and language all over all activities and all geographies.
We shall no longer clearly underestimate the possibility that the COVID-19 field is producing for our operations, but the mobilization and the determination shown by our groups in all areas had been key success factors for SUEZ’s resilience on this turbulent context. And this crew will, with absolute self belief, enhance the transport of our ambitious efficiency belief.
And now Julian, over to you.
So Marc, thanks very mighty, indeed, and loyal night, all all over again, each person. So there is plenty to accept by ahead of we turn to Q&A. I will strive to provide as mighty detail as that you can even imagine on H1 over the next few pages, and I will start up straight away, please, on Proceed 15.
This has our strange overview of the half of twelve months, focusing on what went successfully and what went less successfully. On the stunning-hand facet of the accumulate page, 3 considerations to elevate. First, Chile, the impact of the power drought diminished water consumption and obliged us to spend more on drilling wells and on procuring water. I’d repeat that it is snowed on a sustained foundation in June and July, and that’s the reason a distinct having a stumble on forward for us.
2d, commodity costs, each perilous and most ceaselessly low. As an illustration, we had a distinct €3.5 million impact over the half of of diesel, but that was all all over again than offset by plastic, paper and electricity. And so the general accumulate impact was as soon as €16.5 million from commodities. Overseas alternate, the Australian greenback and the Chilean peso had been the first unfavorable contributors.
Now in opposition to that on the left, positives. First, pricing in Recycling and Recovery and in water had been each per our expectations. Secondly, there was as soon as a sound support a watch on of working capital, which was as soon as flat all over the half of. Third, CapEx was as soon as 17% below last twelve months. And last, costs had been managed at very instant search for by our groups, and we delivered in mighty more than €100 million of instant-time length tag reduction to mitigate the impacts of volumes.
In conclusion, I deem we would divulge that ahead of the pandemic disrupted our exchange, the first trends and the first actions of the SUEZ groups that we saw had been per our targets within the intervening time. And having acknowledged that, let’s now stumble on at the impacts section-by-section that the pandemic had on our exchange in these economies worst hit, starting on Proceed 16 on water. Earnings, down 3.2% in natural phrases over the half of. Right here is finest than our earlier expectations at the tip of June. June was out to be a puny bit better in water.
Overall, you can even stare that we misplaced €100 million of earnings from volume all over the half of and an additional €40 million from building and intervention works stopped for the length of confinement. Let me give you some detail on volumes, in every case, for the half of. In Spain over the half of, down 5.2%. In France, more resilient, down around 2.4%. In Chile, for the causes I infamous earlier in fragment, down 5.5%. And by distinction, North The united states, volumes up 3%. All all over again, all numbers over the half of. Against this, let’s stumble on at tariffs. Tariffs up 1.7% over the half of in France, up 2.5% with inflation in Chile, up 2% within the U.S. In Spain, you will know that we had the impact of the Barcelona tariff going into the half of, but general, tariffs had been handiest down 1.3%.
Proceed 17, Recycling and Recovery. Overall, a 6.6% natural decline in earnings over the half of, also with volumes a puny bit better in June than expected. I need to stumble on first at pricing, the impact of pricing was as soon as distinct at €77 million. That did more than offset the weaker commodities that I talked about earlier. The ideal impact was as soon as, definitely, from volumes, a €242 million impact.
All all over again, let me give you some info on volumes, all all over again, over the half of. In France, down 15.4%, but in June, volumes had been around last twelve months’s stages. In Benelux and Germany, volumes over the half of handiest down 1.8%, so a very resilient efficiency. If I salvage Poland, volumes down handiest 1.2% over the half of, all all over again, a very resilient efficiency. After which if we run abet to China, where we had been first impacted, volumes had been down 6.9% over the half of, but within a pair of share aspects of last twelve months in June.
Proceed 18, Environmental Tech & Solutions, and I would capture to start up right here with perilous waste, and I would also capture to focal level on Europe. Principal impacts in Europe had been on building-connected volumes and solar remediation. The slowdown supposed that volumes in these areas had been down , in Europe, had been down 14.8%. But all all over again, in June, they had been quite terminate to last twelve months as building divulge began. The operational gearing of this exchange is, definitely, very excessive.
2d, Water Technology and Solutions, WTS. We saw 1% natural growth over the half of, despite disruption to our activities in China, in March, April and Might per chance per chance additionally simply. Revenues had been strongest in chemical compounds, together with in North The united states and likewise in merchandise, they had been slowest in projects and in products and services in each conditions because bodily route of , bodily growth on projects and accept entry to to consumer premises was as soon as stopped for the length of confinement.
Talk about about express intake, contrasting right here, express intake was as soon as up in chemical compounds. And all all over again, I would underline that every the earnings and the express intake efficiency reveals that the actions taken by our groups on this home are starting up to undergo fruits. Train intake was as soon as 17% decrease in projects because consumer choices had been clearly put abet for the length of confinement. We comprise indubitably viewed quite a solid start up to the 2d half of in July on this home.
Three other aspects on WTS. First, the demand for cell objects remains to be very solid, indubitably with some customers having a stumble on to make certain that backup and emergency solutions for the length of the pandemic. Secondly, sectors, now we comprise viewed growth in unusual customers in food and bev, in agro, and a solid efficiency in growth sectors equivalent to pharma and electronics.
And last, despite the proven truth that it is exiguous greenbacks, orders from our e-store customers had been up over 50% within the first half of, with a higher average express tag as successfully. Briefly, WTS has confirmed resilient and is progressing successfully within the transformation of its exchange. Last within ETS, our Brilliant Environmental Solutions activities contrasted between these requiring an on-characteristic presence, which was as soon as sharply down and digital activities equivalent to asset efficiency monitoring, air quality, perfect cities in actuality unaffected, and they’ve persevered to develop. And it is in these activities that now we comprise viewed the ideal acceleration of incoming inquiries from customers over the last 3 months. So that’s for earnings.
Proceed 19, let’s stumble on at EBIT over the quarter , sorry, over the half of. On the foundation, you may comprise all of the impacts of EBIT on this tear. In our June 30th press release, we commented that we could salvage particular costs for different aspects of the pandemic that are in actuality onetime events, but the correct accounting for these is to support them within EBIT.
Let me give you some extra info on their nature. Three most major groups: first, areas of deliver tag of doing exchange, equivalent to the value of extra masks and tests, as an illustration; 2d, the dangers associated with sequence of cash from our customers, as Bertrand talked about, now we comprise known as out modern slowdown in cash sequence right by the last three months, earlier in such areas as North Africa, later in areas equivalent to Spain.
As we are able to, definitely, no longer open sequence actions for the length of the pandemic, this does assemble uncertainty about eventual sequence, and we capture to salvage a very cautious search for on recoverability at this level. And last, costs and dangers associated with, as an illustration, building divulge, where now we comprise needed to conclude work for the length of confinement and is currently in doubt how these delays could be mirrored in our contractual preparations. These three areas of costs occur in every of our segments, and we need to repeat apart them from the impacts of the volumes, costs and mix.
So in water, of the total €300 million descend in reported EBIT, €124 million is from volume tag and mix and €176 million from the one-off events infamous above. In Recycling & Recovery, out of the total descend of €133 million in reported EBIT, €42 million is from the one-off events. And Environmental Tech & Solutions off a descend of €90 million in reported EBIT, €37 million is from these one-offs. Staunch a notice on water, it is been where, it is where now we had been basically the most prudent on cash sequence, given our unwillingness to diminish water for the length of the pandemic.
Now it obtained’t mean that the value is misplaced by the manner because most ceaselessly, we are ready, over time, to reintroduce costs equivalent to this into our economic balance negotiation with our customers. On the other hand, the timing for that is perilous, so prudent seem to us to be the actual manner at this level. We are able to focal level on mitigation. I talked about within the foundation, and Jean-Marc talked about our actions on tag for the length of his presentation. We are able to advance abet to that perchance in Q&A.
So transferring on Proceed 20, a spotlight below EBIT. On restructuring, €271 million within the first half of, per what we urged you on June 30. We are able to proceed to reorganize and restructure our exchange and ideally speed. We stare extra alternatives, and we ascertain what we acknowledged on June 30 that we depend on to speed this twelve months’s program at about €150 million of actions in H2.
2d, financial outcomes. The H1 outturn at €218 million is finest than last twelve months and reflects different the actions that now we comprise taken. So as an illustration, the liability management divulge in 2019, the swap within the manner that we sprint cash around the crew and so the impact on our hedging and intergroup costs, the compensation also of excessive coupon debt.
Third, tax. First, we wrote off the relaxation of our deferred tax resources in France for €37 million, and we have no longer recorded any deferred tax resources on the losses we made within the half of. It is too early for that. In the 2d half of, I deem we need to stare the efficient tax rate of 2019 H2 as the stunning starting repeat deem of the tax rate in H2 ’20. The minorities, the H1 amount simply reflects the decrease earnings in these areas, as an illustration, China and Chile, which had been most impacted by COVID. And within the 2d half of, we will stare a intriguing restoration in EBIT to a excessive minority line.
Proceed 21, accumulate debt. If I stumble on at the first objects, I would observation as follows: at the start, working capital. It was as soon as flat this twelve months when in contrast with a unfavorable €396 million a twelve months ago. Now there are some transferring aspects right here in non-exchange working capital. And clearly, with decrease earnings, we must comprise decrease working capital within the crew. But underlying that, I aid in mind there is been some dazzling work, particularly within the key thunder areas we known few in France and in WTS on our exchange working capital.
And groups in each objects, despite the proven truth that they accumulated obtained work to pause, I would capture to thank them for making a step swap within the quality of our processes. It is considerable to us that we proceed on this route. Money tax, cash financial costs are each below last twelve months. And as I talked about earlier, CapEx of €626 million was as soon as 17% below last twelve months, and likewise you will prefer that we challenged our companies to diminish by 15%.
Lastly, on Page 22, I would capture to stumble on forward and switch to steering. We felt that it was as soon as most absorbing to support our steering instant and optimistically easy around two indicators. It is far also targeted fully on the 2d half of of the twelve months for the length from July to December. Over that 2d half of length, we depend on our earnings to be between 2% and 4% down on an natural foundation when in contrast with the 2d half of last twelve months. Right here is per what we acknowledged on June 30.
And for EBIT, on a reported foundation — after €76 million in H1 on a reported foundation, we depend on our 2d half of EBIT to lie between €600 million and €650 million, so a basically large rebound. Have in mind that, there are caveats, FX, no huge-scale lockdowns in H2, we depend on a fancy summer for tourism, and we depend on in fashioned a continuation of the fashioned trends in our most major companies in Might per chance per chance additionally simply and June, but the efficiency within the first half of, together with in June, give us self belief to give you with that visibility over the 2d half of.
Lastly, I’d observation that, as Bertrand has acknowledged, we’re progressing basically successfully on the wave 1 disposals. We depend on to manufacture signings over the next weeks. And due to the this truth, you may stare an impact of the wave 1 disposals at some level in our H2 financial statements. The first disposal, it is fragment of our participation within the AquaSure company is definitive. This will terminate in September. It is far exiguous. It is around €50 million, but it is far the first of the waves to advance abet. Subsequent disposals, as talked about, they’re elevated, and they’re in their negotiation phases.
And with that, I turn it abet to Bertrand for closing remarks.
Thanks, Julian. Thanks, Jean-Marc. I’m deeply ecstatic that the unusual unheard of crisis demonstrates that environment, biodiversity, native climate, successfully being, successfully-being, quality of existence and economy are closely linked. In my search for, it is far evident that the restart of the economy need to incorporate this ingredient to manufacture our societies more resilient. Climate and environmental emergency has no longer weakened. The sanitary crises show veil the importance of our considerable products and services.
Environmental products and services and reinforcement of infrastructures are considerable to adapt to the outcomes of the native climate swap and to enhance economic and social resilience. There need to be an acceleration in promoting low carbon environmentally-virtuous solutions. And it appears to be like devour our message has been heard at the European Inexperienced Deal as well to restoration vegetation in diverse countries makes a first-rate assign for investments and environmental solutions.
Our considerable products and services make contributions to growing native jobs and virtuous economic activities oriented towards low carbon and abet resolution for the environment. Our activities affiliate with an economic restoration that provides elevated resilience and improved quality of existence.
Transferring to the last tear, Proceed 25. I need to stress that our priorities following the unusual crisis remain unchanged and lead us to speed our transformation. With SUEZ 2030, we are able to stare the alternatives that emerge from a inexperienced, digital and sustainable restoration. We stare, for event, that far away and perfect monitoring programs are gaining in significance. Digital turns into key to make certain that resilience of our activities, permitting to bewitch reactivity and quality in our products and services.
One other instance of different is around wastewater evaluation and treatment. Our analysis groups comprise developed with the College of Lorraine, a protocol for analyzing COVID-19 presence in wastewater that is 5 conditions more loyal than these many times old except then. This protocol permits to title a resurgence of the epidemic with immense sensitivity. It is far currently applied and tested by SUEZ on 10 wastewater treatment vegetation in France and 7 in Spain. SUEZ also developed a Sentinel COVID-19 provide for municipalities that could capture to accept pleasure from epidemiological monitoring per wastewater evaluation.
But we could also additionally await that this crisis will lead to a reinforcement of wastewater treatment to place away with this virus devour the different viruses. We comprise the applied sciences and the solutions to manufacture it happen. It is far evident that our activities are poised for growth and our transformation can support materializing our distinct contribution to basically the most absorbing thing about all stakeholders. The recent environment validates the SUEZ 2030 repositioning diagram we had determined last twelve months. There could be a range of alternatives with our strategic priorities. We’re investing in growth areas and the transformation continues.
Thanks very mighty for your consideration. And I deem that with that, I’d capture to open the bottom for your whole questions you may comprise.
[Operator Instructions] Our first demand comes in from the road of Emmanuel Turpin, calling from Societe Generale.
I’d capture to start up by announcing thanks to the SUEZ crew for having provided us with strange updates by the previous few weeks by your procuring and selling statements. I deem that’s been very functional in keeping up to speed by the crisis. I will run along with my first demand to salvage a stumble on at and understand a bit better your message on steering. Obviously, very sure at the EBIT stage. I depend on that tax could accumulated be a puny bit bit complex to estimate.
Julian, would you mind helping us and spell out what you supposed by 2H ’19 rate so that there is no longer any uncertainty about what we need to stumble on at? Perhaps a message on equity manner earnings? They had been down severely, definitely, in H1 from €95 million to €55 million, basically on China, I guess. On your funds for COVID, pause you depend on kind of a normalization, kind of a flat resolve? Or closer to last twelve months’s 2H on this metric? And that could be my demand on helping us calculate tax.
I guess we need to follow your steering to the 2H PBT. And I remember that there is no longer any unusual provision or no unusual COVID tag to be expected in 2H as far as we can stare. And due to the this truth, we don’t need to depend on ourselves the questions about fiscal treatment of provision in 2H. That’s a requirement with an resolution, optimistically.
On my last level, and to terminate up on steering. You printed at the moment the up thus far consensus for 2020. My understanding is that at the EBIT stage, consensus is at the backside of your revised steering. So we wants to be loyal or comprise so mighty upside most likely at that stage to be persevered. You could comprise had the different to pause the calc transferring from EBIT to construct up earnings. Up to now as you are, as your evaluation goes, pause you suspect consensus, or pause you indubitably feel tickled with consensus at the online earnings stage per your EBIT steering?
Emmanuel, if I run away out any of these questions, could you please remind me and I will strive to advance abet. But I will strive to tackle as a range of them as I presumably can. So to begin with, below EBIT. Let’s start up with restructuring. And I will strive to buckle down and do all of the traces. And all all over again, if I run away out one thing, please advance abet to me.
So now we comprise given you €600 million to €650 million EBIT. That’s connected with the €76 million in H1. And we had been very sure on June 30 that we deem now we comprise taken the provisions that we need to in H1 for the dangers that we saw within the intervening time. So that €600 million to €650 million is connected with the €76 million. Secondly, exceptionals. For restructuring, I estimate that we will pause around €150 million of actions within the 2d half of. All all over again, I deem what we need to pause is to salvage a stumble on at to speed the whole lot that we can. So that’s an affordable estimate at this level.
Financial expense, there is no longer any particular cause to stumble on any otherwise as you salvage H1 and likewise you extend it with one exception, which is we comprise more debt because we took on about an additional €2 billion of debt, which I, it appears to be like as if we obtained’t must comprise accomplished that, but I deem it was as soon as the stunning prudent ingredient to pause. So we are able to comprise the financial interest in opposition to that. And the blended coupon is around 1.25%. I deem we will comprise doubtlessly, all all over again, a puny bit less earnings on our cash balance within the 2d half of of the twelve months because within the intervening time, it is extraordinarily complex to accept a distinct unfold on you cash deposits. That’s doubtlessly a minor impact, but I call out these two issues.
Tax. We had been at around 38% underlying in H2 last twelve months. Then need to you stumble on at H2 last twelve months, there had been some transferring aspects, namely around deferred tax. But need to you stumble on on an underlying foundation, we are around about 38%. Now you are stunning to order that there is a range of variability reckoning on where we manufacture the cash within the 2d half of. So as an illustration, if we’re more a success in France, most of that extra earnings would advance by with minimal tax on it. If we’re more a success in Australia, that could be fully taxed.
So there are diagram of uncertainty around that. But I’d suggest that you start up at 38%, and likewise you follow that to your earnings ahead of tax within the 2d half of of the twelve months. Friends, we would depend on the same kind of rebound in H2 because that incorporates a an identical observation on minorities. So a rebound. I don’t basically comprise a host to give you with. I deem we had been at 75% in H2 last twelve months. All all over again, it obtained’t doubtlessly be quite that high, but you may stare a rebound H1 to H2.
Minorities, I deem I lined within the speech. It was as soon as very low within the first half of. But all all over again, with the rebound within the 2d half of in different areas, we are able to stare an enchancment. Staunch one last ingredient on pals. You talked about China. It is doubtlessly value declaring that Acea is doubtlessly the ideal single item or is even handed one of many more considerable objects in that.
I cease for breath. I do no longer know whether I lined the whole lot, but I am hoping that was as soon as functional. And if we need to advance abet abet later within the Q&A or with the IR crew, we can pause that. But I am hoping that answered most of what it’s essential to know.
I guess you did hide most of them. Perhaps a wrapping up observation on how tickled you indubitably feel with consensus accumulate earnings, having taken all this into yarn?
In my belief, I never devour commenting on consensus. I don’t deem that’s what I need to pause. But I’d manufacture the next feedback. I deem the June 30 press release, from what I’ve viewed, enabled each person to accept sufficient info to properly model the exchange for this twelve months. Whether each person took that into yarn then or comprise their possess views, is no longer for me to observation. But from what I’ve viewed is each person has taken that and has been ready to advance abet by with a consensus that’s mighty narrower. And due to the this truth, I deem doubtlessly more legitimate by manner of the manner folks comprise judged issues. You’re going to forgive me for being a puny bit reticent to commenting on your work, but optimistically, that provides you a flavor of what I deem.
Thanks. The subsequent demand comes in from the road of Olivier Van Doosselaere, calling from Exane. Olivier, please run ahead.
Olivier Van Doosselaere
I was as soon as wondering, if we stumble on a puny bit bit further down the facet road, we’re seeing you talked about your self the Inexperienced Deal. We hear in different other utilities that indubitably there is a enhance you kind of protection push at authorities stage to need to stumble on companies reinvest a bit stronger in their activities to support drive an economic restoration. Are you seeing these kind of initiatives, be it in France or be it in some particular other ones of your areas, devour the U.S. on your more infrastructure-heavy activities, are you seeing a most likely acceleration in investment there? Are they pushed by protection enhance? That is the first demand.
And 2d one, perchance also connected to that, around the Inexperienced Deal, a range of discuss decarbonization. But I puzzled, pause you stare any assemble of accelerated protection momentum as successfully to salvage a stumble on at to swap guidelines within the more near time length by manner of round economy and the functionality for recycling. That was as soon as my demand at this stage.
So thanks very mighty for your demand. And positively, we stare that our companies and the activities we are in are positively taken into yarn within the a gigantic kind of stimulus plans that are being elaborated. Have in mind that, we need to recommend for that. And I in point of fact was as soon as very mighty alive to in that because within the foundation, it was as soon as very mighty around CO2 emission reduction, around renewable energies, having, and namely in Europe, water and waste activities, a puny bit bit left within the abet of.
But we are very joyful to had been ready to convince that it need to be integrated within the trajectories and in due route investment. So water is fragment of it. Wastewater is fragment of it. Destroy management is fragment of it. And we stare also, because it is far the accountability of the a gigantic kind of states to suggest how they are going to spend the stimulus kit cash in their possess nation. We stare that right here is being integrated within the a gigantic kind of countries. If I salvage the instance of wastewater and water reuse, as an illustration, which is considerable to protect the environment, protect biodiversity, right here’s what I explained. We gather coal for investments in Italy, in Spain, in France, that are considerable nation in our water companies.
And transferring to the waste exchange, Recycling & Recovery. I deem that Europe was as soon as already clearly promoting as fragment of the guidelines, extra recycling and restoration of offers. This was as soon as also fragment of a range of native guidelines. As an illustration, France, enacted a kit last twelve months. But what was as soon as lacking was as soon as sure tag signals to manufacture these activities sustainable to drive investment, to plot investment. And we stare that now between the mix of taxes, subsidies, right here is being integrated within the belief.
As an illustration, we comprise already incentives to incorporate recycling , recycle plastic in unusual containers. And Europe is fascinating on implementing a tax on plastics. So you stare it is basically transferring within the stunning route. Have in mind that, this need to be applied etc. But it indisputably’s basically, I’d divulge that this crisis is indubitably a catalyst to speed in our activities.
The subsequent demand comes in from the road of James Model, calling from Deutsche Bank.
I would also actual capture to echo the earlier feedback around the suited, strange verbal exchange and praise there for the finance crew and the IR crew has been very functional. Can I depend on four questions? Is that too many? Would you devour me to limit it to 3? Is 4 a puny bit bit too many?
We salvage notes. Please run ahead. We salvage notes.
It is no longer indubitably four, in preference to four, two parters. The first one is loyal on the steering for the earnings impact, natural earnings impact within the 2d half of of two% to 4%. I’m actual kind of wierd how you are fascinating on waste within that since you made some quite distinct feedback about waste volumes getting abet to fashioned in June. And I was as soon as actual wondering what your expectations for that? Obviously, it is far a very complex demand to answer to, your expectations for the 2d half of of the twelve months. Ought to accumulated we be looking ahead to that kind of more fashioned fats restoration to proceed or could also it no longer?
2d demand is a fancy one. But when we’re fascinating on that 2% to 4% earnings impact in H2, is there any mean you can even could give us by manner of how we wants to be pondering that moves by into 2021? I mean, is there any kind of aspects that you can even present by manner of how mighty of that you suspect will actual soar abet when we normalize? Or how mighty of it is far also sustained? The 2d demand.
The third demand is loyal on the observation you made on pricing accumulated conserving up. That does sound horny distinct. But how distinct need to we stare that observation? I remember that you may be comprise kind of annual tag negotiations for the waste exchange within the foundation of the twelve months. So will it is , I’d imagine it is far also quite irregular to comprise pricing negotiations right by the twelve months. And clearly, these had been horny excellent circumstances and it is distinct that you have not had these. But are you more , how distinct need to we stare that? Or need to we perchance be pondering it is all up for grabs if you happen to advance on to your next pricing negotiation? And I’m actual going to transfer away it there because I don’t need to soak up too mighty of your time. I will run away it at three.
Fade, perchance to answer to more globally to your demand of which is the stage of divulge revenues, which is, definitely, a considerable part within the manner shall we indirectly foresee the long speed. I deem that it is basically, I mean, what we noticed, to manufacture it easy, is, we went abet to 2019 stages of divulge in some areas. That’s, as an illustration, the case in China. That’s, as an illustration, the case of the waste exchange in France. But we are accumulated affected in some areas where the divulge, manufacturing divulge has no longer, or the industrial divulge has no longer fully recovered. And let’s, I mean, if you happen to stumble on at air transportation, airport etc and right here is undoubtedly no longer going to transfer abet to fashioned in a very instant time frame.
Tourism, also, is a vital ingredient per the areas where we are. If we stumble on at Southern France, as an illustration, French Riviera, we are minus 7%, minus 8%, which offers us, for the 2d quarter, roughly minus 4% at nationwide stage. Spain is affected because our footprint is as some considerable presence in touristic areas devour, Balearic, Canaries and Barcelona. So it is extraordinarily complex to await when are we going to transfer abet to fashioned, if I could divulge so, on this home. On the same time, on the distinct facet, as I explained in my speech, we are scoring contracts. We’re closing deals now. I spoke about Doha. I spoke about Bita. I spoke about Tashkent.
We comprise other projects below negotiation. Deals that are going to enter into the mix of revenues. So that’s what I will divulge. Right here is one thing that we will support better within the coming quarters as we are monitoring closely the topic. But at the tip, the 2% to 4%, minus 2% to minus 4% for the 2d quarter is the stage that we determined to transfer for per what we stare from the a gigantic kind of geographies, the a gigantic kind of activities we are in per what shall we stare within the last week of June this twelve months. Julian, it’s essential to add one thing?
Fade, I actual deem, when we looked at that, we felt it will per chance be immoral to take that we could be, as an illustration, flat in opposition to last twelve months in waste volumes in France for your whole of the 2d half of. There may be going to be a length we deem, doubtlessly, and we is also immoral, but we deem there could be a length within the 2d half of when waste volumes could also descend abet. So we need to be a puny bit bit prudent about that. And I deem we had been prudent about that. Climate is considerable, namely in water.
All all over again, previous the pandemic, there is fashioned exchange. So that’s considerable for us. But I deem in resolution to your 2d, so I deem there are locations and takes, but I don’t deem now we comprise assumed actual a June stage of waste divulge for your whole of the 2d half of, as an illustration. I deem that could had been too optimistic. So we haven’t assumed that. I mean, Bertrand acknowledged it for 2021. As mighty as anything, we indubitably feel from the alternatives in entrance of us, that there is a distinct fragment of our future that’s in our fingers. We should salvage projects. We should bring them into force. For pricing in R&R, a very out of the ordinary ingredient for us to spotlight because it is been a routine demand on all of the calls and all of the conferences and your whole podcast is whether now we comprise viewed stress on R&R pricing in Europe. So we reiterate we haven’t.
But as Jean-Marc and I comprise discussed on many occasions, if you happen to stumble on at, as an illustration, commodity pressures, they proceed into the 2d half of. So there is a fraction, I deem, for the exchange to quite legitimately divulge that our costs are below the immoral kind of stress. And at some level, these costs need to be mirrored within the pricing to our customers. Now the balance of that, we will need to stumble on. But I pause deem we comprise arguments to show veil to our customers that pricing wants to proceed to transfer within the stunning route. Having acknowledged that, as you divulge, it is no longer a 2d half of level. It is far a 2021 field, but we pause deem we comprise loyal arguments when we accept to that level. Thanks for 3 questions.
The subsequent demand comes from the road of Vincent Ayral, calling from JPMorgan. Vincent, please run ahead.
I will strive to follow within the actual follow from my predecessor and stick with 3 questions. So others can in general comprise their lot right here. In most cases, we talked right here a bit about bouncing abet on the earlier level. By the proven truth that June volume was as soon as accurate, we’re going to no longer depend on or evil the steering on looking ahead to H2 to be devour that for your whole length. So I guess there was as soon as a bewitch-up ingredient in some of the volumes, namely on the waste facet of issues. We’re now towards the tip of July, and now we comprise viewed some kind of reset referring to the waste volumes, and where would we stand over the last couple of weeks. I deem that could be functional for us to know in general the unusual dynamic on Portion 1.
The other level I’d comprise is indeed post-COVID, you may comprise a metamorphosis belief, you had a $0.80 steering for 2021. Then we had COVID. We’re all speaking about COVID. I will comprise an interest to know a bit about the post-COVID posture transformation. Are you proceed to having a stumble on at this target? Compose you suspect it is accumulated sensible? And the consensus is clearly below. I’d be serious about having a puny bit color from you on this particular level.
And lastly, you confirmed some extra excellent costs connected to COVID in H1. We saw on your press release a month ago that most of it will per chance be taken in H1. It can appear that indubitably all of it will per chance had been taken in H1. I actual need to be 100% distinct. My understanding from the clicking release a month ago was as soon as a puny bit varied, was as soon as the large majority to be taken in H1. So there would be one thing left for H2 by manner of excellent tag. It can appear that it is no longer the case. Might per chance per chance you please ascertain? Thanks.
Perhaps I will start up actual to manufacture it very easy. And having a stumble on at what we experienced in France is that June was as soon as accurate, and perchance there was as soon as a part of bewitch-up and destocking within the volumes. But what we saw within the first weeks of July is that we are in general, to manufacture it easy, abet to 2019 stage. It is per 2019 stage. On the 2d level around 2021, I deem that right here is one thing, it is far a puny bit bit too early to talk about 2021, we will advance abet to you later this twelve months.
The most convenient ingredient that I will guarantee that you is that the belief is our , has no longer , is reinforced by the crisis. We’re transferring on your whole diagram of the belief. What we urged you last October by manner of trail issue is the same, bettering the profitability, bettering the cash sprint generation, bettering the ROCE, keeping our debt-to-EBITDA ratio between 2.8% and 3% with our portfolio is there in express to develop the dividend over time, guarantee that a sustainable dividend and develop dividend is fragment of our diagram. So we are there.
So I’d divulge the trail issue is the same. The trajectory is the same. The facet road is also a puny bit bit varied due to the the topic, but nothing has modified from our standpoint. It is advisable need to order one thing on H1, Julian?
Fade, I deem you are stunning, Vincent. All of it is in H1. I don’t depend on anything in H2. And the €600 million to €650 million, all all over again, actual to make certain, the €600 million to €650 million is an identical to the €76 million within the first half of.
The subsequent demand comes in from the road of Arthur Sitbon, calling from Morgan Stanley.
My first demand is around dividends paid on the abet of 2020 earnings. There had been most modern feedback from the unusual French High Minister announcing that you’d call companies the utilization of long-time length partial divulge plan to repeat moderation on dividends. So I was as soon as wondering if that could comprise any impact on your dividend and whether or no longer you intend to in actuality spend this plan? And my 2d demand is on 2021. I know it is too early to comprise a steering. But could you elaborate a bit on what are the first areas of concerns for you in that twelve months? And where pause you suspect shall we quit up seeing unfavorable surprises?
On the first demand around the dividend. I will handiest repeat what I acknowledged earlier, which is that it is too early to project ourselves and communicate about what would be the topic in February, March 2021. You could presumably stare what we did this twelve months. It is advisable remember that we don’t make basically the most of these assorted plans. And due to the this truth, we are able to assess the topic in due time. Julian, for the 2d demand?
I deem for 2021, I obtained’t repeat the whole lot that Bertrand acknowledged about the termination trajectory drive for handing over the whole lot that we need to bring around to 2030. I am hoping he was as soon as sure that nothing has modified in any of that. Equally, we’re no longer naive. We are able to stare what’s going down on this planet around us. And at the tip of the twelve months, we are able to comprise more info. I deem each you and us of how the economies of the world are going to stumble on devour next twelve months. What we need to pause and what we are doing within the intervening time is focusing on what we support a watch on.
And that is each the value within the exchange, and which is why I deem we felt it was as soon as so considerable for Jean-Marc to give you with the exchange on the solid momentum we comprise around the efficiency belief, which is as he described, also to repeat that the reactivity in being ready to diminish costs at instant search for has very a lot surprised us positively over the last six months. We are able to transfer further, we deem, per some of these classes learned in adjusting our tag evil. That’s partly around the restructuring within the 2d half of.
So our first focal level is on what pause we support a watch on. And what we would support a watch on is our industrial efficiency, our procuring efficiency, our SG&A stage, our costs in fashioned. And your whole company is mobilized around accelerating and making a difference in that because that can support us regardless of the long speed, accurate our profitability. And the 2d is around a success projects. And regarded as one of many issues that we wished to pause at the outset of at the present time’s call is to tell our consideration and optimistically, some of your consideration to the alternatives that we stare popping out of the last six months, but also the alternatives we stare per what we need to present in fashioned.
We obtained two out of the ordinary contracts in Tashkent and in Doha within the first half of. CapEx light, very long time length, based mostly totally around perfect, based mostly totally around digital and a range of earnings linked. Bita is a loyal instance of one thing which perchance we wouldn’t no longer comprise naturally expected to be there as fragment of the restoration, but it is been accelerated since the necessity for water within the nation is viewed as a loyal priority. And we comprise other examples of that where the incoming calls to us over the previous few months had been accelerating. And our job is to manufacture these calls develop into loyal exchange for us. A pair of of it will per chance happen for 2021. A pair of of it is far also later.
So we stare a chance to govern what we would support a watch on and a chance to originate on the reputation, know-how, expertise, ride, expertise, competence to serving its folks to salvage unusual exchange. Whatever the world could also provide us by manner of underlying economies, these are loyal strengths to stumble on forward with and manufacture us, due to the this truth, very confident that we can bring SUEZ 2030 for our shareholders.
Your next demand comes in from the road of Fraser McLaren, calling from Bank of The united states.
Three questions from me as successfully, please. To begin with, you spoke about provisions prudency in the case of the COVID costs within the first half of. Staunch wondering how these would sprint abet if it turns out that you have been too prudent within the 2d half of? Will they be confined to 2020? The 2d demand is loyal to comprise a study on the steering for the 2d half of. Are you assuming that FX and commodity costs bewitch accumulated as of now? After which last, you comprise spoken a puny bit bit about what we need to take for tax for the fats twelve months. Staunch wondering if anything has modified within the profile of lowering the tax rate within the longer time length?
So on the first one, I deem by definition, there is no longer any expectation of these provisions coming abet into the P&L. We should work to stumble on if we can, but there is no longer any expectation of that. And I deem fragment of what we strive to accept all over is that there is perchance a difference right here between economics and accounting. We pause deem that as we discussed with our buyer evil over the next length, that there could be a range of issues to assign into that discussion. There would be the proven truth that we comprise extra costs from the pandemic. There would be the proven truth that they’ll comprise perchance modified priorities around the amount they need us to speculate. They could comprise modified priorities around the tariffs that they are fascinating to depend on. And so there could be a negotiation within the discussion, and we need to be distinct as we buckle down and do that, that we strive to get better our costs economically.
But that’s a very varied ingredient to order than any person that hasn’t paid us will pay us. So accounting and economics could also differ in that respect, which is why we felt it was as soon as basically considerable to be prudent at June 30. 2d observation. Overseas alternate, I cannot support a watch on. So if there is a gigantic transfer in foreign alternate movements, we would caveat it for that. For commodities, we’re looking ahead to commodities to proceed to be unfavorable, and now we comprise integrated that within the manner that we stumble on about the 2d half of.
Thirdly, on tax, I don’t deem there is any swap within the route of poke. Now we comprise accomplished different issues to start up to maneuver our tax rate over the next few years. Obviously, the intriguing descend in taxable profitability within the first half of is one thing we need actual to now stumble on at and examine and the speed of restoration as successfully. Which is why I needed you to spend the H2 ’19 efficient tax rate on an underlying foundation as the manner by which it is doubtlessly the stunning manner to deem of modeling H2 ’20.
So there is no longer any swap within the route of poke. I’ve continually acknowledged that tax is one thing that takes time to maneuver. But we comprise 2 issues to stumble on out below EBIT, financial expense on the one hand and tax with the different. I deem need to you stumble on at the financial expense line, H1 ’20 to H1 ’19, you stare the impacts of some of the actions that the crew right here has taken over the last 12 months to swap the profile of our financial costs and decrease them.
So I deem on each this growth, it is far also more noticeable at this level within the financial costs line. Thanks.
Thanks all. And I deem that with this last demand, we terminate the determination, and I’m distinct that we will comprise the different to satisfy quickly within the a gigantic kind of conferences that had been scheduled or optimistically in particular person within the coming months. Abet accurate, quit successfully, you and your family. And all all over again, thanks plenty for your consideration and participation. Bye, bye.
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